More on the Goose

I keep mulling over the sometimes deserved bad reputation of the proprietary education sector where I work. It’s not easy to get the facts straight. Our students have loan default rates that are significantly higher than other kinds of institutions. (You can see a chart with the numbers, here.) That’s a serious problem. Administrators, like administrators everywhere, work the numbers to make their schools look better. That’s not likely to change.

Default rates are high and going up everywhere, as are tuition and fees, and we still have an unemployment rate of nearly 10%. I do think that the costs of education ought to be tightly regulated, but I don’t know how to figure in the premium you pay for the ability to study from home. Eventually, the for-profits will have to compete with the community colleges and other public institutions for these ‘at home students’ and the for-profits will be forced to lower their prices.

That’s long term and it doesn’t help students now, myself included (my loans are from public schools). If the economy were stronger and so the deficit smoke screen less effective, I think there would be increasing pressure for some sort of relief program for student debt. After all, far more students in default went to school in the public sector. (We have more in default proportionately, but fewer in absolute numbers.) That’s not likely to happen soon either.

What really bothers me is that I don’t feel the public schools have much moral ground for their disdain of the for profits. It’s hard to see the public sector as any more or less exploitative than the private sector. Can we say, for example, that the public sectors’ sometimes wasteful use of public money on president’s salaries or multimillion dollar athletic programs, is any more or less corrupt than the private sectors’ sometimes ugly recruitment policies and high costs?

Guard that Goose

The for profit education sector, where I work, grew out of two historic circumstances. First, the public sector’s inability to expand beyond their traditional demographics and technologies. (This might be finally changing, if this Western Governors University Indiana is successful.) And second, the existence of government insured– and easily available– student loans.

The public universities left a gaping hole in the market, and the student loan system made it profitable. I wouldn’t want the private system to take over the entire system (we are only a small part of the market) but if the for profits aren’t careful, they will kill the goose that laid their golden egg. (See “Many For-Profits Are ‘Managing’ Defaults to Mask Problems, Analysis Indicates“.)

Regulations shape corporate behavior, so it’s not surprising that schools are creating policies that make the data (on two year default rates) look good. They’ll do the same when the policy shifts to three year default rates. Schools won’t remain profitable, though, if their main story– that an education is worth the investment–begins to seem like a weak sales pitch.

Part of the default rate has to be related to the fact that our students are less affluent, although that is not the only explanation. The rates will improve as the economy improves, too, but that is not going to eliminate all defaults either. In the long run, the rate will only decline if all schools– for profit or otherwise– are tightly regulated, and if we rely less on loans and more on grants.

Oh What A Tangled Web We Weave…

Rahm Emanuel, mayor elect of Chicago, famously said ““You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.” Conservatives made a lot of silly hay out of this (this one claimed that the economy would probably “recover on its own”) but Emanuel was, as usual, simply being ironic and blunt about political reality. In particular, he meant that the financial crisis allowed the administration to introduce regulations– and stimulus money– that it could not do otherwise.

I don’t think the Obama administration has gone far enough with financial regulations, or stimulus, but the point remains: we hate regulations until the economy collapses, and then we bemoan their absence like a long lost lover. The politically unfeasible is now politically necessary. That’s what the Republicans believe justify their ongoing attacks on workplace democracy, including legislation in Ohio that specifically targets faculty unions. It’s Big Lie rhetoric.

In fact, polls show that the public disagrees with the attacks on collective bargaining. Perhaps as a result, the governor of Wisconsin seems poised to negotiate the very compromise that he said he would never accept. The real crisis, I think, which I hope the unions in particular will take advantage of, is the sense of powerlessness that a majority of Americans feel, as their standard– and quality– of living continues to erode. It’s not just jobs.

It’s a long term structural problem created by more than three decades of income redistribution from the poor, working and middle classes, to the rich. The attempt to destroy the public sector unions– the last bastion of real power for working people– has been the final straw for many people. We cannot fix the budget problems unless we begin to revitalize democracy via card check reform and address the taxation inequities that have created the mess.